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RECOUPING VALUE: THE LAQUON TREADWELL THEORY

we are about midway through the season and this is a good time to take stock of rookie wide receiver value.
backstory: years ago, i drafted laquon treadwell and was very excited! but as the season got underway, excitement sort of shifted to “where is he?!?” he couldn’t find a target to save his life. “be patient,” i told myself. “he’s a rookie and he’ll improve!” but each week, he put up stjnker after stinker. i started looking for other good wide receivers with high draft capital, who were healthy their rookie year and just couldn’t get on the field or find targets. the list of WRs that eventually hit was surprisingly small...
and as each week went by for laquon, the outlook got dimmer and dimmer. and by the end of the season, i couldn’t find many comps for him at all. (i can’t remember the exact number, but i only found a handful of fantasy relevant WRs that posted healthy, sub 300 yard seasons. it used to be a lot more common for rookie WRs to ride the pine but the last 15, 20 years, the good ones usually see the field a bit.)
by the offseason, treadwell’s trade value was smack dab in the shitter. i couldn’t move him and i eventually cut him a few games into the next season.
after the pain of cutting the 1.02 13 months after the pick, i made a rule for myself: if another receiver ever did the same thing, i’d trade them midway through the season and just try to recoup draft capital.
my benchmark was a) drafted in first 2 rounds, b) health and c) a sub 300 yard pace.
my feeling was 9 times out of 10, i’d be happy i moved on.
last year, i finally put this theory to the test after buying into the jjaw hype. when he started throwing up consistent zeroes, i traded him for a 2020 2nd around week 8. (that pick went on to be tee higgins and jjaw has gone the way of the treadwell and is available on the wire.)
my working theory on this is that while we shouldn’t expect rookie WRs to set the league on fire, so many WRs are on the field at once that even a rookie should get a little action. and if a guy couldn’t carve out a little piece of the pie and was getting outplayed by middling vets then something was probably wrong...
so who are the receivers we should be concerned about this year?
quite a few WRs aren’t on pace for 300 yards but most of them have missed time and should get a pass. (pittman, reagor, mims) but there are two guys we should be worried about:
van jefferson kj hamler
both of these guys are on pace for pretty crummy rookie seasons. you can certainly make an argument for why you should be patient (which is why they both probably still have some value) but if history is any guide, you might be best served moving on and getting your 2nd round pick back or maybe even a 3rd... the odds they ever hit are getting thinner by the week.
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Tomorrow could be an interesting day for nickel

Hi all,
So as the title states tomorrow could be an interesting play for nickel mining companies with battery day from Tesla. Below is a list I've complied that I'll be watching for volume spikes.
$TN - Tartisan Nickel: 0.31 $TLO - Talon Metals: 0.285 $TM - Trigon Metals: 0.365 $PGE - Group Ten Metals: 0.33 $NCP - Nickel Creek Platinum Corp: 0.17 $CQR - Conquest Resources LTD.: 0.085 $NKL - Conic Metals Capital Corp: 0.305 $CML - CaNickel Mining LTD. : 0.15
And of course... $GIGA - Giga Metals: 1.02
Good luck!
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